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Loan-to-Value Ratio and Housing Price: Empirical Evidence From Indonesia
The subprime mortgage crisis in 2007-2009 which led to a global recession has highlighted the importance
of regulating credit for housing market. The urgency arises not only to manage non-performing
ratio, but further to manage price in the housing market which is a potent source of financial imbalance.
Loan-to-value (LTV) regulation is imposed in order to dampen the housing price cycle, preventing
the occurrence of bubble issue. This study tries to capture the influence of LTV implementation
on housing price and assesses its effectiveness in the national scope. Error correction model is used
to portray the short and long-term dynamics of housing cycle with regard to policy, macroeconomic,
and financial variables. We concluded that LTV is an effective policy to dampen the price cycle in the
long run, but not in the short run. In the short run, housing price is closely determined by the macroeconomic
factors. Furthermore, we found that the implementation of LTV has made housing price to
become more persistent, suggesting a change in the market expectation structure and the behavior of
housing price cycle.
Barcode | Tipe Koleksi | Nomor Panggil | Lokasi | Status | |
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artsc289 | DIG - FE | Artikel | Perpustakaan | Tersedia namun tidak untuk dipinjamkan - No Loan |
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