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Combining Probability Forecasts : 60% and 60% Is 60%, but Likely and Likely I…
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Mislavsky, RobertGaertig, Celia

How do we combine others’ probability forecasts? Prior research has shown that when advisors provide numeric probability forecasts, people typically average them (i.e., they move closer to the av…

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The Psychology of Second Guesses : Implications for the Wisdom of the Inner C…
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Gaertig, CeliaSimmons, Joseph P.

Prior research suggests that averaging two guesses from the same person can improve quantitative judgments, a phenomenon known as the “wisdom of the inner crowd.” In this article, we find that …


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Ditemukan 2 dari pencarian Anda melalui kata kunci: Pengarang : Gaertig, Celia
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